NFL MVP Betting Odds for the 2024-25 Season

Why did the scarecrow become an NFL MVP candidate? Because he was outstanding in his field—and you’ll want to be outstanding in betting too!

The quest for the NFL MVP title is an annual spectacle that captures the imaginations of fans and bettors alike. Predicting who will rise above the rest in the 2024-25 season poses a unique challenge.

In the following sections you will explore how players’ performances and team dynamics influence their MVP odds, and you’ll gain strategic insights to make informed betting decisions. We’ll delve into the top candidates, examining their current odds and the factors swaying their chances.

Who Are The Top Candidates For The 2024-25 NFL MVP?

When it comes to predicting the NFL MVP, quarterbacks usually dominate the discussion. Here’s a simple breakdown of the top candidates, their odds, and what might help their chances this season.

Player	Team	Odds	Key Strengths	Why They’re a Top Candidate
Patrick Mahomes	Kansas City Chiefs	+230	Consistent, impressive throws, clutch performances	Strong offense, consistently elevates his game
Josh Allen	Buffalo Bills	+430	Strong arm, mobility, leadership	Impressive stats, leads comebacks
C.J. Stroud	Houston Texans	+900	Improving, better offensive support (like Stefon Diggs)	Great potential for growth, strong stats from last season
Jalen Hurts	Philadelphia Eagles	+1200	Dual-threat (running and passing), athletic	Leadership and versatility make him a solid underdog
Lamar Jackson	Baltimore Ravens	+1800	Dynamic runner, game-changing plays	A deep playoff run could boost his MVP chances
Brock Purdy	San Francisco 49ers	+2000	Strong performances, thrives under Shanahan’s system	Dark horse with potential to surprise
Joe Burrow	Cincinnati Bengals	+2200	Leadership, strong connection with teammates	Proven track record, high-caliber teamwork
Dak Prescott	Dallas Cowboys	+3000	Impressive moments last season	Needs to effectively lead Cowboys’ offense
Jordan Love	Green Bay Packers	+5000	Potential long shot	With strong support, could surprise many
Baker Mayfield	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	+5000	Potential for big plays	Though a long shot, could pull off remarkable performances

Key factors:

Coaching changes: Players’ performance may depend on new coaching strategies.
Team performance: The success of their teams will influence their MVP chances.
Adaptability: Players’ ability to adjust to new systems will be crucial throughout the season.

To get the best betting odds on these top candidates, make sure you’re keeping an eye on platforms like DGbet that offer competitive rates.

Important Non-Quarterback MVP Candidates

While quarterbacks typically dominate the NFL MVP conversation, there are a few non-quarterback players who could make a strong case in the 2024-25 season. Some of the top names to watch are Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, and Micah Parsons, each bringing their own unique talents and potential to the MVP race.

Christian McCaffrey (RB) – San Francisco 49ers
- Odds: +10000
- Key strengths: McCaffrey is known for his versatility as both a runner and a receiver. In the 2022 season, he gained over 1,200 rushing yards and more than 800 receiving yards, showing his dual-threat ability.
- Why he’s a top candidate: If the 49ers make a deep playoff run and McCaffrey replicates or exceeds his past performances, he could build a strong MVP case. His ability to contribute in multiple ways sets him apart from other candidates.
Tyreek Hill (WR) – Miami Dolphins
- Odds: +10000
- Key strengths: Hill is one of the fastest and most dynamic wide receivers in the NFL, with the ability to make game-changing plays.
- Why he’s a top candidate: Wide receivers rarely win MVP, but if Hill breaks records or leads the league in key stats while playing a crucial role in the Dolphins’ success, his chances will increase. His speed and consistency could catch the voters’ attention if he delivers standout performances.
Micah Parsons (LB) – Dallas Cowboys
- Odds: +20000
- Key strengths: Parsons is an elite defensive player with exceptional pass-rushing skills and all-around defensive talent.
- Why he’s a top candidate: While it’s tough for a defensive player to win MVP, Parsons could disrupt the norm if he has a dominant season similar to Lawrence Taylor’s 1986 MVP run. If Parsons has a standout season with a high number of sacks and game-changing plays, he could enter the conversation.

Take a look at this youtube video from Chris Simms where in he analyzes the MVP odds for various players like C.J. Stroud, Joe Burrow, and Jared Goff, in addition to offering detailed evaluations about each of them.

Strategies For Betting On NFL MVP

Betting on the NFL MVP requires good timing, spotting value in underdog players, staying informed on media narratives, and using historical data. Here are key strategies to keep in mind:

1. Adjusting strategies throughout the season

Early season: At the start of the season, many players have longer odds, which can offer great value. Look for under-the-radar players who may perform better than expected. Keep an eye on offseason moves to predict which players could excel.
Mid to late season: As the season progresses, player performances and injuries will shape the MVP race. By weeks 15 or 16, top candidates will have much shorter odds, so it’s wise to place bets earlier in the season.
Injuries & schedule: Follow injury reports closely. If a top player gets hurt, their odds may increase, offering a good opportunity. Also, players from teams with easier schedules may accumulate wins faster, improving their MVP chances.

2. Finding value with underdog bets

Look for under-the-radar candidates: Players like Brock Purdy, who have a strong team and coaching staff behind them, can be valuable underdog bets. They may not start as favorites but could shine as the season goes on.
Rookies & backup players: Even though rookie quarterbacks rarely win MVP, they can offer great value if they perform better than expected. Backup quarterbacks who step up due to injury can also be surprising MVP contenders.
Mid-season underdogs: Keep an eye on mid-season changes, such as unexpected team dynamics or players stepping up due to injuries. Betting on long shots early can lead to big payouts if these players overachieve.

3. Following media narratives and voter tendencies

Quarterbacks are favored: Historically, MVP voters prefer quarterbacks, especially those leading top-seeded teams. This helps narrow your betting options to QBs from successful teams.
Impact of media stories: Media attention can sway MVP votes. Players with compelling narratives, such as overcoming adversity or breaking records, often attract more voter interest.
Strong finish: Voters tend to remember late-season performances. Players who deliver in critical games near the end of the season have a better shot at winning MVP.

4. Using historical data and stats for smart betting

Learn from past MVPs: Analyzing previous MVP winners can give you an idea of the performance levels needed to win. Metrics like EPA (Expected Points Added), passer rating, and yards per attempt can help identify the most efficient players.
Well-rounded teams: Quarterbacks with strong running games and good receivers usually perform better and have a higher chance of winning MVP.
Consistency matters: Consistent performance throughout the season is key. Players who stay at a high level are more likely to win than those with only a few standout games.

By combining these strategies, you can make more informed and strategic bets on the NFL MVP race.

DGbet’s expert analyses can help you stay ahead by keeping track of media narratives and voter tendencies.

Recent NFL MVP Winners

The NFL MVP award celebrates players who show outstanding skill, leadership, and impact on the field. In recent seasons, quarterbacks have dominated the MVP race, and here’s a look at the standout winners:

2023-24: Lamar Jackson (QB, Baltimore Ravens)

Image credit: Impactus

Lamar Jackson secured his second NFL MVP award, an impressive feat for the Ravens’ star quarterback.

Key stats:
- Record: Led the Ravens to a 13-3 record in games he started.
- Passing: Completed 67.2% of his passes, racking up 3,678 yards and 24 touchdowns.
- Rushing: A dual-threat, Jackson also rushed for 821 yards and 5 touchdowns, leading all quarterbacks with 5.5 yards per carry.
Significance: At just 26, Jackson became the youngest quarterback to win the MVP twice, surpassing Brett Favre. His ability to dominate both in the air and on the ground cements his place as one of the league’s elite players.

2022-23: Patrick Mahomes (QB, Kansas City Chiefs)

Image credit: Fox News

Patrick Mahomes claimed his second MVP title, showcasing his consistent excellence as the Chiefs’ quarterback.

Key impact:
- Mahomes led his team with his signature high passer ratings and numerous touchdown passes.
- His ability to consistently elevate the performance of the Chiefs kept him at the forefront of the MVP conversation.
Legacy: Mahomes’ win further established him as one of the premier quarterbacks in the NFL, known for his leadership and game-changing skills.

2021-22: Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)

Image credit: PFF

Aaron Rodgers won his fourth MVP award, making him one of the most decorated quarterbacks in history.

Key stats:
- His decision-making, accuracy, and ability to perform under pressure led the Packers to a strong season.
Significance: This was Rodgers’ second consecutive MVP win, solidifying his status as one of the NFL’s most reliable and accomplished quarterbacks.

2020-21: Aaron Rodgers (QB, Green Bay Packers)

Rodgers earned his third MVP award, thanks to one of the most efficient seasons of his career.

Key impact:
- His record-breaking accuracy and leadership helped the Packers claim the top seed in the NFC.
Legacy: Rodgers’ consistency and ability to maintain high-level performances year after year made him a standout MVP candidate and one of the most celebrated QBs in NFL history.

2019-20: Lamar Jackson (QB, Baltimore Ravens)

Jackson won his first MVP in a record-setting season, becoming only the second player ever to win the award unanimously.

Key stats:
- Led the NFL with 36 touchdown passes.
- Set a single-season rushing record for a quarterback with 1,206 yards.
Significance: Jackson’s versatility and ability to lead the Ravens to a 14-2 regular season record made him a dynamic and deserving MVP.

Conclusion

The NFL MVP race is an exciting journey filled with amazing performances and surprises. As we look ahead to the 2024-25 season, it’s important to keep an eye on player stats, team success, and any stories that catch our attention. With top players like Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen in the mix, there’s a lot to look forward to.

Get ready to place your bets and enjoy the thrill of the chase for the MVP title!